On November 2nd (and for weeks before) voters will head to the polls to cast their votes in the 2010 midterm elections. These elections will decide control of the House, Senate, 36 Governor's Mansions, and dozens of state legislative chambers. As a result, voters can radically change the course of the country and define the policy agenda. Yet will they?Will voters abandon the Democratic Party and give the Republicans control of Congress? Or, will voters demonstrate disgust with both parties and create a divided legislature? Will the new Congress, no matter its composition, work with the President or work to oppose him? Will 2010 really change anything?
These are questions being asked by many political analysts today. You will now weigh in on this debate. Using the provided readings respond to the following prompt:
What effect will the 2010 elections have on the nation's political system? Make sure to address both short-term and long-term effects. Additionally, your post must indicate evidence that you have read all four articles. You are expected to incorporate the arguments of all articles into your response and may consider quoting directly from them.
A huge effect will take toll on the structure of this country after Tuesday’s elections. There are three possible scenarios according to Nathan L. Gonzalez of CQ Politics. Either Democrats will win or lose both sections of Congress or there is the chance of losing only the House. It if comes to be that the Republicans, do indeed, win the house, it would be the first time that there was bipartisan control of Congress since four scores ago, before the Second World War. Being that this could be the case, a plethora of outcomes could occur out of this occasion. First off, many disagreements can be foreshadowed due to the two parties conflicting. The future is not, however, depicted in terms of economic success. No one is really for certain who lies at fault for the fiscal irresponsibility.
ReplyDeleteIn fact, before President Obama entered office, the Bush Administrations had ran the largest deficit in United States history according to Joe Scarborough in his guest appearance for Politico, who also gives example to people such as Nancy Pelosi and Glenn Beck who take the outcomes of the midterm elections to severe extremes. The midterm elections, being one where the people have complete control of the outcome, are projecting to have a low voter turnout as usual, this being bad for Republicans. Republicans, given the advantage for control of the House, are threatened by those who choose to vote at the last moment. As stated in the video from the blog post, J. Ann Selzer pointed out that those who choose to vote late or choose who they’re voting for later usually take a left-wing approach.
It is not, however, set it stone who will embrace victory for each seat. Some seats that were previously thought to be safe in the hands of its incumbent are now found to be up for change. As a result incumbents have had to put more force behind their campaigns, such as Rep. Barney Frank, pointed out by Karen Tumulty of The Washington Post. As David Broder, also of The Washington Post, suggests, the victory of Republicans has been over-emphasized. Rather, he puts it in a way that the Republicans are simply regaining their previous losses.
The questions is simply not what the effect will be on the nation, in my opinion. We succumb to inaccuracy when we attempt to predict the future, in most cases. Because of the varied answers to conclude a viable hypothesis of the outcomes, we will not know the certain direction of the country until after the election. Were I to conclude on this topic, I would have to say that the country will take one of three directions based on Nathan L. Gonzalez‘s three conclusions. If the Democrats retain Congress completely, it will continue in the direct with its reforms under the Obama Administration, such as health care and economical issues. If Congress is shared by Democrats and Republicans, I believe that they will conflict but eventually form a bipartisan effort to tackle issues. If Republicans take complete control of Congress, I suspect that opposition the health care reforms will grow and many suggestions of President Obama will be disregarded.
The 2010 elections could have a huge impact on the nation’s political system. There could possibly be a historical change in the House and Senate that has not been seen since the 1930 elections. Many believe the Republican Party will gain control over the House, and Democrat Party will have control over the Senate.
ReplyDeleteA number of things could happen Tuesday though. The Democrats could hold on to the House and Senate. They will have to work hard to gain the votes of the people that have lost hope for the Democratic Party but it can be done. Or, what many think will happen; the Democrats lose the House but keep the Senate. People want the Democrats out of the House with unemployment rates still going up, and the economy not getting better. Or some hope the Republican Party gains control over all of Congress. The Democratic incumbents expected to win the races could lose to the Republican opponents, giving the Republican Party control over Congress.
Tuesday’s election outcome, whether the Democrats continue to hold power or the Republicans gain control, will not make a huge impact on the nation. Before the Bush Administration the national debt was being paid down and the economy was looking better. But after the Republicans came in that all ended and the government was again on a path of deficit spending, hurting the economy. Then in 2008 the Obama Administration made things worse, with the largest deficits in history. So does it matter who controls the House or will these problems still surround us?
This year’s midterm elections will have a major impact on how the government will be run. There are three possible outcomes for Congress, according to CQ. 1) The Democrats will win both the House and the Senate.2) The Republicans will win the House and the Democrats will win the Senate, which hasn’t happened since World War Two. 3) The Republicans will win both the House and the Senate.
ReplyDeleteThe outcome of each seat is not guaranteed. Incumbents, who were previously thought to be “safe”, have been surprised by the outside money given to their opponents. From July to September, Republicans have spent $104 million for the House races and $60 million for the Senate races. Democrats have spent $89 million for the House races and $40 million for the Senate races, according to The Washington Post. This difference in spending could have an effect on the outcomes of the elections. The rule of thumb for politics is that voters who are undecided usually vote for the challenger rather than the incumbent.
The voter turnout is expected to be lower than usual. This would be bad for the Republicans. According to the video in the blog post, voters who decide late generally vote for Democrats. Joe Scarborough, from Politico, said that the midterm elections will determine whether the United States will be in $16.4 trillion or $16.5 trillion in debt. He also made the point that Republican leaders in Congress have led to the largest deficits in history until Obama became president. This midterm election is very important and will have a great effect on how the government is going to be run.
The 2010 Midterm Elections will affect the workings of the national government, but not to the degree as the media is making it seem. The Politico article even cites extreme cases of media hype using quotes from Glenn Beck and Nancy Pelosi. The elections are not going to result in something as extreme as selling children as slaves to China or the destruction of democracy. However, the results of the election will affect the workings of the government and the policies that will be created.
ReplyDeleteThe most probable result of the upcoming election is a divided Congress. Democrats will maintain control of the Senate, despite losing a few seats to the Republicans. On the other hand, the House will switch to a slight Republican majority. This split is uncommon, but the outcome of the election is not too unexpected. Generally, voters usually vote against the party in power during midterm elections. This is due to unhappiness with the course of action the nation is on at the time the election is held and a push for political change in the government. Another possible reason for the split, however, is that the policy makers seem unsure as what to do to improve the economic situation of the economy. This indecision leaves voters on shaky ground when deciding who will do a better job.
No matter the outcome, Obama will have to contend with opposition in Congress. The degree of this opposition will vary, but it will always be there. Obama and his Democratic supporters will try to push a piece of legislation through, but will be slowed and perhaps even halted by the Republicans. Then when Republicans try to pass legislation, they will be slowed or stopped by the Democrats. For the government to get out of the stalemate it has been in lately, the parties need to learn to compromise. This will be difficult, especially considering the Republicans all want to see Obama fail so he will not be reelected in 2012. The parties need to “grow up” and learn to work together for the better of the nation rather than worrying about the presidential election.
"The question around Washington today is not whether Nov. 2 will be a difficult day for the Democrats who control Congress, but rather how bad will it be." Quoted from Karen Tumulty of the Washington Post, all authors from the articles agree on this statement. Most likely the Republicans will take the majority in the House, and take many seats of Democratic incumbents while the Republicans may lose only a few seats on their side. The number of seats for each party is definitely a short term effect. Not only would there be a change in immediate policies after the midterms, this election would go down in history. According to The Washington Post, not since the 1930 election has the House changed leading parties without the Senate doing the same.
ReplyDeleteNot many long term effects will take place after the midterms, as in America's economic crisis. Either way we will stay in our trillion dollar debt. The fourth article written by Joe Scarborough, explains how the Democrats and the Republicans have both been at fault of today's financial state. The Bush Republicans turned our economic surplus into the worst U.S. financial crisis in 75 years, and gave us the largest deficits in history, and the biggest defense spending bill, until the Obama Administration. Current Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has stopped concentrating in balancing the budget. In her first year as speaker, Pelosi missed her balanced- budget mark by $162 billion, and the deficit went above $400 billion by the fiscal year of 2008. Then two years since after the mortgage situation, the deficits annually broke the $1 trillion barrier. Either way the United States will still be in a trillion dollar debt, and neither party will make a large or immediate contribution to our financial situation. "Instead, nest Tuesday will be about whether America will be $16.4 trillion or $16.5 trillion in debt the next time we all go back to the polls in two years," Scarborough wrote in the article.
My prediction of the upcoming midterm election is that the democrats are doomed. According to The Washington Post we are going to see the returns on the biggest republican victory in 16 years. Republicans will pick up about 50 seats or so in the house causing the democrats to only keep the senate. Politico stated that our economy is crippled, American is in debt, our entitlement programs are going under and both parties are to blame. The 2010 election will be meaningless where it matters most: the long term health of the American economy. Public opinion polls show that democrats will take a pounding when many unemployed and frustrated voters go to the poll. The polls show that majority of Americans are unhappy with the countries present course and want a reversal in the economies long, downward slide. Evidence supports three possible outcomes for the outcomes of Election Day: Democrats could loose the house and keep the senate, democrats could endure heavy losses but still retain majorities in the house and senate, or they could surrender both in effect of the fury from the republicans. Republicans targeted democratic incumbents in the house in favor of the stimulus bill and the health care reform. The health care reform will cause everyone to pay their fair share of health care cost. The Congressional Budget Office says the Health Reform Bill will save billions of dollars off of the national deficit if the bill doesn’t get signed. As a long-term effect this would be a plus for the economy and if the health reform bill does pass it would not have an effect on the democrats but it has already really fired up the republican voters. The GOP level of support remains unchanged at this point whether it passes or not according to the CQ politics. Republican picking up 37 states that are electing governors could have repercussions for the presidential contest in 2012. There has been a significant fundraising advantage for democrat but recent months have shown that the republican house candidates brought in 104 million compared to 89 million for democrats according to Federal Election Commission results. This midterm election will be the most expensive in history with 1 billion in house races alone.
ReplyDelete“Democrats could endure heavy losses but retain governing majorities in the House and Senate, they could keep the Senate but lose the House, or they could surrender both in a tide of voter fury that Republicans have shrewdly embraced.” The fate of our political system is in the voters hands. The 2010 Midterm Election is likely to go down in history. The scenario that is being talked about most is the Democrats will lose control of the House, but retain control of the Senate. The last time that this has happened was 8 decades ago.
ReplyDeleteThe Democrats are facing significant losses, with up to 90 Democratic House seats in play. The Republicans only have nine in jeopardy. Republicans only need 39 House seats to take control, which is likely to happen, but they would need a sweep in the Senate to get control of this chamber, which is improbable. The control of the House has not changed hands without the Senate changing too since the 1930 election, which is why the 2010 election could be historical. The Republicans are targeting Democrat incumbents’ votes on the stimulus bill, cap-and-trade and health care reform.
There is an interesting election going on in California. Jerry Brown is pulling ahead of Meg Whitman by 13 points. If Brown wins this election it will be a major pickup for the Democrats. But Republicans are expecting pickups in the 37 states that are electing governors. Ohio is also a crucial swing state. The Republicans stand a good chance winning here because Kasich has a slight lead over incumbent Strickland.
The Republicans are likely to, “make the biggest Republican victory in 26 years.” This means that a short-term effect would be that the Republicans will gain strength, while the Democrats will lose power. Although in reality, the power will be divided up equally. They will have shared power in Congress considering Democrats will control the Senate while the Republicans control the House. Basically, all results of the Midterm Election will be short-term. Senate terms are 6 years while House terms two years, so the seats will be re-elected in no time.
A long-term effect discussed in the article, “Midterms will decide very little,” would be that the election really is not going to change much. Both parties are to blame for our countries debt, and nothing will change. There is always going to be two parties and they will both be at fault for our problems. Even if power does shift in the House it will not make a difference. The November 2nd election will be about, “whether America will be $16.4 trillion or $16.5 trillion in debt the next time we all go back to the polls in two years.”
Voters are most likely to abandon the Democratic Party and give the Republicans control of Congress. “We are going to look at the returns on the biggest Republican victory in 16 years and think that it spells doom for the Democrats and a shift to the right in our politics, said David Broder.” The Republicans are looking at gaining around 50 or so seats because of the loss in 06 and 08. However, there are three possible outcomes for the Democrats. They could always end up holding all their positions in office, they could lose the majority in the House and remain in control of the Senate, or the entire Congress could be taken over by the Republicans.
ReplyDeleteThese three outcomes come with different courses in which the country will take after the midterm elections. According to Nathan L. Gonzalez, if the Democrat’s do pull it out and control the entire Congress, the course will continue to follow the reforms under Obama Administration. In favor of all predictions, the Republicans may take the majority in the house while the Democrats remain in control of the Senate. This will cause many conflicting ideas; however, in the end these two parties will have to cooperate and learn to tackle every issue together by simply compromising. If by chance the Republicans take control over the entire Congress, the course will begin a new chapter, and the general dislike opinion over health care reform will increase.
In the long run, the health of the economy is most important to all citizens. Therefore, the majority are going to vote for the opposite party in which they think can complete better tasks than the one in office at the moment. America is in debt. Our entitlement programs are going under. Our economy is crippled. And both parties are to blame. As of now though, many are not satisfied with the Democrats present course, making their opinions of that particular political party change. “Republicans expect pickups in the 37 states that are electing governors, and in legislative races down the ballot, those elections could have repercussions for congressional redistricting next year and for the presidential contest in 2012, said Karen Tumulty.” However, J. Ann Selzer stated that those who choose to vote late or even choose who they are voting for later in time usually take a left-wing approach and may have potential to affect the Republicans outcome.
As I stated above, the health of the economy is the number one priority to the majority of citizens. No long term effect will take place regarding this, whether one party or another wins will not decide on whether this country is out of debt or not.
If the Republicans were to take over the House, the policy views would obviously change immediately due to the different perspectives in each political party. One other short term effect would be that this election would be the first election in which changed leading parties without the Senate doing the same since the 1930’s, making a record in history.
There will be a drastic effect on the nation’s political system from the 2010 Midterm Elections. Many people, including myself think that the Republican Party will overthrow the current House and take over those seats, creating a split Congress. Apparently, there are ninety potential Democratic House seats are open, but only nine of these seats appear to be in jeopardy, but leading forecasters say that the Republicans will win the thirty-nine seats that are needed to take control of the House. If this did happen then it would represent a historic anomaly because nothing like this has happened since the election of 1930, where the House changed political parties and the Senate stayed the same.
ReplyDeleteBut, before the Obama Administration took over, it was proven that the Bush Administration had created the worst U.S. financial crisis in seventy-five years, the largest deficits in U.S. history, the largest trade deficit in U.S. History the biggest domestic spending bill since LBJ’s Great Society, and the biggest defense spending bill. All of these were continuing to increase until Obama was elected President.
Long-term and short-term effects will be in favor of the citizens if Democrats stay in control of the Congress. Being how the deficit has already decreased, then it should keep decreasing and help the nation’s economy that much more. But, some arguments try to encourage us to vote Republican again because they are not happy with what the President has been doing lately. Actually these people need to take a reality check, and like Obama said in the video block, “things aren’t going to automatically change overnight”. The nation gave the Bush Administration eight years to create the deficit that we have today, and citizens will not even let President Obama have two years to try to fix some of the problems that the Bush Administration has caused.
From the video blog post above, it provided information that suggested that forty-seven percent of people will vote Republican and thirty-two percent will vote Democratic. It also said that forty-five percent of women would vote Republican and forty-one percent would vote for Democrats. Although this might be true, it has been suggested that there will be fewer voters participating in the Midterm Elections which is not good for the Republican Party. So, if the Republican Party does win the House, the Democratic Party will still have a great role in the nation’s political system.
Midterm elections are a very important part of voting. This election can determine the composition of our government. The election could result in one of three ways. The Democrats can lose the seats in the house but hold onto the Senate, the late voter base saves Democrats, or Republicans dominate both the House and Senate. In any result it proves that the Republican National Chairman Michael Steele was right "The voters are tired of the fact that the federal government has not listened to them."
ReplyDeleteThere are both short and long term effects from this midterm election. Some short term effects are changes in policy and finding out who will be controlling the House and the Senate. There won't be a lot of long term effects from the mid term election. Manyy people say that the Nations deficit will not even change. Both Democrats and Republicans are responsible for this deficit. All we can do now is wait and see what the election brings.
Midterm Elections
ReplyDeleteI believe this year’s midterm elections will have a big impact on the way the government will be run. According to CQ Politics there are three different scenarios for the November 2nd midterm elections. The first scenario says that the Democrats will keep control of both the House and the Senate. I for one do not think this is going to happen. The second scenario states that the Democrats are going to lose their seating in the House and keep control of the Senate. I agree with this scenario based on the article by Karen Tumulty from the Washington Post entitled “Election Day could bring historic split: Democrats lose House, keep Senate”. This article states that the Republicans only need to win 39 House seats to take control. There are 90 House seats up for grabs so I really think the Republicans can take 39 of these. The third scenario states that the Republican will take control of both the House and the Senate. I do not think this will happen as it will take a sweep of nearly Nevada, Pennsylvania, Illinois and Colorado for the Republicans to pick up the 10 seats they need to take control. This was stated in the same Washington post article written by Karen Tumulty.
According to David Broder of the Washington Post there will be a short term outcome of Republicans and Democrats sharing control of Congress. This has not happened for 80 years. Also according to David Broder there really isn’t anyone Senator or Representative who is a leader. Voters are certain because our leadership is uncertain. According to the article Politico written by Joe Scarborough concerning long term effects in the Midterm Elections, I was a bit worried when Glen Beck predicted, “that the continuation of their big spending policies will result in our children being sold into slavery to the Chinese.” I do not believe this will be a long term outcome; however, this statement could scare people into voting more Republican. The impact of all of these thoughts and elections will be interesting to watch.
The 2010 midterm election could shake things up in the number of Democratic seats in the House, there are 90 seats in play this election and only 9 for Republicans. This election will more than likely switch the control of the House to Republicans. As for the Senate, if Republicans pick up the 10 seats they would need to gain control of the Senate then Congress would be controlled by Republicans entirely. If this doesn't happen it will be a historical event because it hasn't happened since 1930. But after this election Congress will more than likely be split with Republicans in control of the House and Democrats in control of the Senate.
ReplyDeleteThe probable cause of this switch to a Republican controlled House is due to frustrated voters, feeling Democrats are to blame for the “lagging economy” and general unhappiness with the way the country is headed.
If the Republicans do gain control of the House things will change just because of differences in views between Republicans and Democrats. The opposition between the two sects of Congress will make it hard for a piece of legislation to be passed because there will be more debate. The long-term effect of the switch won't be prominent enough to matter, both parties are to blame for the country's debt. According to Politico this election will be about “whether America will be $16.4 trillion or $16.5 trillion in debt the next time we go to the polls.”
It is hard to say what the outcome of the midterm elections will be. The votes can go many different ways. The only way the Democrats will remain in control is if the voters don't trust the Republicans enough to give them control. If voters focus on the situation of the economy and the unemployment, then it is likely that the Democrats face heavy losses. If the disapproval of the current state of the economy is strong then Republicans may be able to sweep all congress. The outcome will still rely on the voters using their best judgement.
ReplyDeleteIf the Democrats do happen to loose control of the House, they still have a chance to cling to the Senate. If this happens it will be a historical split for Congress. It will be the first time in eight decades that the shift in the House wouldn't be accompanied by a shift in the Senate. It doesn't help if Congress has almost no economic giants. Neither party has spokesmen that are capable of making good arguments.
Some people feel as if the Midterms wont decide very much at all. It doesn't help that people are making very drastic remarks about the turnout. For example, Glenn Beck predicting that the continuation of big spending will result in our children being sold into slavery to the Chinese. A statement that is more accurate is "America is in debt. Our entitlement programs are going under. Our economy is crippled. And both parties are to blame."
There are three ways that Congress can change with the 2010 midterm elections according to CQ Politics News. The first turnout could be that the Democratic Party will hold on to control of both houses in Congress. It is possible that Democrats will have the majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate. The Democrats may keep control of the Senate after the elections but may lose control of the House to the Republicans. The article says that it is possible for Democrats to barely hold on to control of the Senate but they could lose their control of the House. If this occurs then it will be the first time since World War II. The third possible turnout is that the Republicans will take control of both chambers in Congress. One reason for the switch is that many voters blame the economic problems on the Democrats and they want to see if the Republicans can change the economy and have better control of Congress than the Democrats.
ReplyDeleteIn Washington the question is not if the midterm elections will be bad for the Democrats, it is how bad it will be. The midterm elections are going to change the political system. The Democrats are projected to lose a lot of their seats in Congress. “ The nonpartisan Cook Political Report now estimates that more than 90 Democratic House seats could be in jeopardy, while only nine are in jeopardy for the Republicans.” It is likely that the Republicans will be able to take control of the House but it is a much closer race for the Senate seats. Timothy Kaine believes that the Democrats will easily keep control of the Senate. Michael Steele believes that voters are tired of being ignored by Democrats and want change in the government. Many voters are opposed to some of the decisions that the Democrats have made while in control. Republicans have been receiving a flood of outside money that has made the races much closer than what they would be if Republicans had to campaign on only the money that they have. This midterm election has been the most expensive with $1 billion being spent on House races alone.
According to David Broder, many people think that Republicans are going to have a huge victory. The truth is that Republicans really won’t have that big of a victory. The reason why winning 50 or more seats is not a big deal is because the Republicans lost so many in the 2006 and 2008 elections. The reason for the chance of split control of Congress is the fact that voters have doubts about their party and really don’t have a party preference. The reason for judgment is that the Republicans had problems under the Bush Administration and now the Democrats are having problems under Barrack Obama. The split in Congress will cause policy gridlock. The parties have conflicting ideas on the economy and other issues such as the war. With a split government it will be hard for policies to be made for the country.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi believes that if she is not reelected the United States democracy could be at stake. Glenn Beck believes that if Democrats keep control of Congress America’s children will have to be sold into slavery because of their big policy spending. The real facts are that America is in debt and both parties are to blame. Nancy Pelosi said that if she was elected she would try to balance the budget but what really happened was that spending increased and the debt grew larger. The Republican party is a huge reason to why the U.S. is in extreme debt. Under the Republicans, there was more spending and increasing debt. According to Politico, it doesn’t matter who takes control of Congress because at the next election the debt will be larger no matter what party has control.
The 2010 midterm elections will have a tremendous effect on our nation’s political system. After all, the people being elected, our government, holds the future of this country in their hands. According to Nathan L. Gonzales, democrats shouldn’t be worried whether or not they will lose seats in the House and Senate. “The question now is how bad it will get for Democrats.” There is a small chance that the Democrats could hold both houses, or they could lose the House or the Senate, or they could lose both houses. If the Democrats end up doing well in the election, things will remain somewhat similar to what they are now. The Democrats will have sole control and get things passed as they would like. If the Democrats lose the House, “voters focused less on the cause of the economic troubles and more on their current and future well-being.” This would bring change, but not to drastically. If the Republicans completely take over both houses, it would be “, a clear repudiation of Obama and his party.” This would show that the people want change and want it to be big and now.
ReplyDeleteAccording to Karen Tumulty,” the question around Washington today is not whether Nov. 2 will be a difficult day for the Democrats who will control Congress, but rather how bad will it be.” The most reasonable solution is that the Republican will take over the House and the Democrats will keep the Senate. Obama’s approval rate is going down. This shows that the people of the U.S. are tired of the same old thing and want change. The midterms usually end up bad for the president. If they do, the next two years for Obama could be a rough road. “This midterm election season will be the most expensive in history.” This shows that the incumbents are scared they will lose office and also that the challengers really want to win.
David Broder thinks that there will be a share of Congress. Democrats would control the Senate and Republicans, the House. He says that the Republican victory will only seem large because they lost so many seats in 2006 and 2008. Yes they will win seats, but not as many as people say that they will. People are starting to doubt their own party and actually deciding to vote for the opposite party in hope of change for the better. Everyone wants the economy better and no one can seem to accomplish that task.
A writer at Politico, Joe Scarborough, believes that all this talk about the midterms being a big deal is nonsense. The fate of our Democracy doesn’t really rest in the arms of the elected and it is not really that big of deal, as it is being made out to be. What we should really be worrying about is the problems that the U.S. is currently dealing with. In particular the debt is a huge problem. What we really need to care about is who can cure the debt. Our economy is much more important than who we elect in these midterms
This year’s midterm elections could change how our Congress is controlled. According to CQ Politics there are three possible outcomes: the Democrats win both the House and Senate, the Republicans win both the House and Senate, or the House will be controlled by the Republicans and the Senate controlled by the Democrats. Any one of the three possibilities could change the future of the decision making for our country.
ReplyDeleteThe effects of this year’s election will be decided upon those who vote. This could be an advantage for the Democrats due to the fact that most late-voters will side with Democrats. This doesn’t give them the upper edge due to the Republicans gaining more votes in the Midwest and campaigning harder than the Democrats. According to the Washington Post, the Republican House candidates spent $104 million compared to the Democrat candidates’ $89 million. It was the same way in the Senate with the Republicans spending $60 million compared to the Democrat’s $40 million.
The short-term effects that would be seen will be the quick changes of the seats in Congress and the change of policy. It doesn’t matter which party wins but many of the candidates are tired of President Obama’s issues and are looking to change them. There are not many long-term effects that will happen. The only real long-term effect will be how the newly elected candidates will deal with the debt and unemployment. With 9 percent of the country unemployed and over $15 trillion in debt, these newly elected candidates will have a job to do.
The 2010 midterm election results will have a profound effect on the nation’s political system. The three articles are all similar in meaning. They all predict that Democrats will lose some amount of seats in Congress. There are three likely scenarios that will take place. The Republicans will gain seats in both Houses but Democrats will still control Congress, Republicans will take control of the House but not the Senate, or Republicans will take control of the House and the Senate.
ReplyDeleteMore than likely, the second scenario will occur. Voters will look to Republicans for help out of the economic problems that have occurred. Under President Obama, the yearly deficit is the worst it has ever been. Although under President Bush, the deficit was the worst in history at the time. Because of this, Democratic voters may not swing their vote for Republicans for the midterm elections. Neither party has gained full trust of the voters to improve the economic recession and yearly deficit. Joe Scarborough of Politico sums the situation up well. “America is in debt. Our entitlement programs are going under. Our economy is crippled. And both parties are to blame.” However, enough voters will want a change in policy that Republicans will gain a noticeable amount of seats in Congress. The number of these seats is yet to be determined.
With a Congress split between two parties, policy will be hard to execute, assuming Republicans take control of the House and Democrats keep the Senate. As the newly elected Republicans take control of the House, the current trend on policy will slow down. In the long-term, policy may change. However, this will take some time, with a split Congress and a Democratic executive. One thing will surely happen during the midterm elections: Voters will turn out expecting a change in the current trend in policy.
Many of the predictions in the articles end up the same way, Republicans take the house by a lot, but Democrats hold on to the Senate. I like this one, and agree with it the most. While reading the articles and I'll admit, even other comments on this page, some people say that voters are angry and will take turn their anger on Democrats by giving Republicans all of Congress. I like how it was put in the video above. Anger is different from frustration. I doubt that everybody is fed up with the Democrat agenda, although many people are.
ReplyDeleteAccording to the Politico article the media is hyping things up more than they need to be. Even though the short term effects of this switch in the House will be noticeable, they will eventually dissolve. There will be some gridlock until Republicans and Democrats can resolve or compromise their conflicts over the economy, health care, and other issues.
The long term effects will be piling onto the debt. Neither party wants to be held responsible for it, nor does neither party want to pay for it. Unless one party comes up with a reasonable solution to the debt, this is one monkey that the U.S. will have on its back for a while. So what will the 2010 midterm elections decide? Only who will go where in Congress, we will still have the same issues and conflicts to decide on.
After reading the articles; “Overview: Three Different Scenarios for Nov. 2 Outcomes”, “Election Day could bring historic split: Democrats lose House, keep Senate”, “Voter verdict? More uncertainty”, and “Midterms will decide very little,” I know there are three possible outcomes from the midterm elections. The first outcome is the Democrats will keep the House and Senate. The second is the Democrats will lose the House, but keep the Senate. And lastly, Democrats will lose the House and the Senate.
ReplyDeleteA long-term effect would be that if the predictions are correct and Republicans gain a good amount of seats in the House, it may be difficult for Democrats to regain the seats in future elections, which would give Republicans an advantage for having the House for years to come. A short-term effect could be if Republicans only gain enough seats to have the majority, then in the next election Democrats have a chance to regain control and majority of the House, leaving Republicans a short amount of time with control of the House.
The government may change, if Republicans take control of Congress, by helping with the deficit spending from learning from the Democrats mistakes. However, Republicans may worsen the deficit like from 2001 to 2004 when the GOP broke the record for Washington’s biggest annual deficit. The more likely outcome is that Republicans will gain control of the House, but not the Senate. It is unlikely that the Democrats will keep control of both Houses. Michael S. Steele makes a valid point: “The voters are tired of the fact that the federal government has not listened to the people over the past two years, and instead has moved in its own direction, at its own rhythm.
Democrats should be worried about the midterm elections. There are three ways the election could turn out. One the base could turn out late and save democrats, two democrats could lose the house and republicans could take over, and three the democrats could loose both the house and senate. If republicans do gain control over the House and not the senate it would go down in history. The last time this happened was the election of 1930.
ReplyDeleteThere are short and long term effects of this election. All decions in the midterm election will be short term. The long term effects will be the debt, not just one party caused the national debt it was caused by both parties.
So either way,rather the democrats or the republicans win there will be long term effects and there will be short term effects.
The midterm election of 2010 will almost definitely have a large effect on America's political system. The three possible outcomes after the vting is said and done: 1.Democrats keep both the Senate and the House,2.Republicans take over the House, Democrats hold on to the Senate, and 3.Republicans take over both the House and the Senate. Most people assume the Democrats will lose seats in Congress. "The question is not whether November 2nd will be a difficult day for the Democrats who control Congress, but rather how bad it will be."
ReplyDeleteIt is very likely the Republicans will take the House, gaining the 39 seats they need. The Senate isless clear. "Improbable but not impossible, for the Republicans to pick up the 10 seats they need to gain control of the chamber." The key phrase is "Improbable but not impossible."
If the Republicans were to take over both chambers, changes would take place immediately. They are against Obama's democratic policies. If the Democrats remain in charge, there will still be change. Many Democratic candidates are against Obama's views, too. The long-term effect will deal mainly with the health of the American economy, as well as how newly elected candidates will deal with the issue of unemployment. "Both parties are to blame."
It is difficult to say what party will when each Chamber of Congress. The 2010 midterm election could have a huge impact on the United States political system. There are three possible outcomes according to CQ Politics. They are that the Democrats could keep control over both the House and the Senate and have heavy loses, they could keep the Senate but lose the House, or they could lose both the Chambers of Congress. Any one of these three possibilities could change the future of the political system for the United States.
ReplyDeleteIf the Democrats keep control of the Senate and lose control of the House, it will be the first time that this has happened since 1930 according to The Washington Post. Democrats could have an advantage do to the fact that most last minute voters vote for the Democrats. But, this does not give them that much of an advantage do to the fact that the Republicans gain voters in the Midwest and they are campaigning harder then democrats. The republicans used $104 million in the House campaigns and $60 million in the Senate compared to $89 million spent by the Democrats in the House and $40 million in the Senate according to The Washington Post. According to Politico the midterm election will not have that big of an effect like all the News Papers are making it seem. It will affect the workings of the government and the policies that will be created.
The short-term effects are going to be the change of the seats in the House and in the Senate. Also the change in the policy that each chamber has. No matter who wins the election they are going to be looking for change. The long-term effects are going to be how the new officials deal with the debt and unemployment issues. See that the country is over $15 trillion dollars in debt and 10 percent of the people in the country are in debt according to Politico.
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ReplyDeleteFor the upcoming midterm elections there are three possible outcomes the Democratic party could keep control of the house and the senate, the Republican party could take control of the house and the democratic party could keep the senate, or the last option is that the republic party can take control of both houses. After reading all of the articles I agree with the idea that the republicans will gain control of the house with ease but the democrats will keep the senate.
ReplyDeleteSome short term effects will be a change in policies due to the fact many people are fed up with Obama’s issues and are looking to find solutions. And for long term effects the national debt will likely increase due to the fact neither party wants to take responsibility for the nation’s debt problems and another effect will be if officials can remedy the unemployment rates or if the rates will start to rise again
According to The Washington Post, the 2008 presidential elections will have an impact to the 2010 Midterm Election which will be resulting in the government’s future elections. The CQ Politics predicts that the possible three outcomes may occur: the Democrats will have serious losses but will still remain with the majority of Congress, keep the Senate but lose the House, or lose both houses. Although Politico states that our only long term effect will be the rising deficit, to no extent will this election result in the annihilation of our democracy. A short term effect mentioned in all four articles will be the seat arrangements. It is said that the Democrats will lose many of the incumbent seats while the Republican may lose a few seats but gain the majority of the House.
ReplyDeleteIf, however, the majority of Congress is split in two, then the Democrats will be in control of the Senate leaving the power of the House to the Republicans. Because of the dissatisfaction of the voters with the ongoing results of the presidency, they are most likely to vote against Democrat and for Republican, thus having the voters wanting political change and new policies. The policy makers wants to do what is best for our economy which is why they might also want to have this split controlling of one house or the other. As a result, voters will be uncertain in wanting a direct and forward answer as to who will do the best for the people and the government.
The long term effect of having a huge financial crisis within the next 75 years on deficit will only continue to grow. The House Speaker Nancy Pelosi argues that the continuation of big spending will lead to children having to be sold as slaves to China with our democracy being at stake. Pelosi missed her balanced- budget mark by $162 billion, and the deficit went above $400. She continues to say that our only chance for our nation to survive would not be having Harry Reid or Mitch McConnell run as a divided Senate, but rather that there is no solution. Politico states Congress believes that maintaining power in more important that conserving our tax dollars. Because of this, “Republicanism” will result in the largest trade deficit and the biggest domestic spending bill. This article says that within the next election, the debt will increase to $16.4 trillion or $16.5 trillion.
The Washington Post says that the democracy under George W. Bush and his Republicans was a disaster. Barack Obama along with his Democrats slightly improved the situation. “Larger majorities of Republicans express doubts about the GOP as do large majorities of Democrats about their own party.” Throughout the articles it mentions the Democratic incumbent voting on the stimulus bill, cap-and-trade and health care reform. Still, there was no “universal formula for survival,” according to CQ Politics. Obama and his supporters will try to push a piece of legislation through, but it might be stopped by the Republicans. Even so, when Republicans try to pass legislation, they might be stopped by the Democrats. To pass this disagreement, both the houses need to “work together” to accomplish the success of the government.
This year’s midterm elections will have a major impact on the legislature passed in the coming years. There are three possible outcomes for Congress, according to CQ. Option 1, The Democrats win both the House and the Senate. Option 2, The Republicans win the House and the Democrats will win the Senate, which hasn’t happened since WWII. And lastly, optoin 3, The Republicans win both the House and the Senate.
ReplyDeleteMany believe the most probable outcome is "option 2." It is the most realisitc. However, the GOP is just that; the Grand Ol Party. They certainly have the resources to take complete control of Congress.
The 2010 Midterms will have a strong impact on the nation. First, the party in power will focus on the economy. The question is, will it do any good? Both Bush ans Obama increased the national deficit. The upcoming midterm will either make or break the party in power.
The 2010 midterm elections could change a lot about the US government. One short term effect of the midterm elections is that the majority of the House and the Senate could change from Democrat to Republican, as explained in “Overview: Three Different Scenarios for Nov. 2 Outcomes.” Also, another short term effect could be that Democrats will hold onto the Senate, but not the House, like in “Election Day could bring historic split: Democrats lose House, keep Senate.” This would be the first time since 1930 that the House has changed hands, but not the Senate.
ReplyDeleteOne long term effect, I predict, would be that policies might start becoming more conservative instead of liberal because of the switch in the majority from democrat to republican. Also, if the House is controlled by one party, and the Senate another, policy might not move forward because “Neither party regularly presents compelling spokesmen making articulate arguments,” as explained in the third article, “Voter Verdict? More Uncertainty.” Midterm elections can have many effects on the US government, short term, and long term.